Boulder Endocrinology Associates

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Diabetes News - Avandia Study 5/21/2007
 

May 21, 2007
Today the New England Journal of Medicine released a study to be published in the June 14 edition, in which analysis of 42 studies of the diabetes medicine Avandia (rosiglitazone) suggested therapy with this medicine was associated with an increased risk of heart attack and potentially an increased risk of death from cardiovascular causes.

Bottom Line:
The doctors at Boulder Endocrinology have reviewed the study and would make the following observations:
1. The study raises potential concerns about the safety of rosiglitazone (Avandia), but is a preliminary analysis that will require additional study to confirm these findings.
2. The overall risk for each person taking rosiglitazone was small (for example, in the "small trials" included in the analysis, rate of heart attack were 0.43% in those taking rosiglitazone and 0.36% in those taking another diabetes drug or placebo).
3. People should not stop rosiglitazone (Avandia) prior to reviewing the potential risks and benefits with their doctor.
4. We recommend our patients continue rosiglitazone (Avandia) until their next appointment, at which time the following options can be considered:
     - continue taking rosiglitazone
     - switch to pioglitazone (Actos, a related medicine of the TZD class)
     - switch to a diabetes medication from a different class
     - stop rosiglitazone without starting new medication

Details:
The authors of the study, who work at the Cleveland Clinic (a well-known academic medical center) analyzed data that is publicly available from several sources, including the website for GlaxoSmithKline, the company that makes Avandia, and from the FDA. They originally looked at data from 116 trials, and ultimately found 42 that met their criteria and were included in the final analysis. These studies were at least 24 weeks in duration, were randomized (patients were randomly assigned to receive rosiglitazone vs. either another diabetes drug or placebo), and reported data for cardiovascular outcomes.

This analysis found that the odds ratio for having a myocardial infarction (heart attack) was 1.45 and for cardiovascular death was 1.64. The "odds ratio" is a statistical term comparing events. This could be rephrased "patients who had a heart attack were 1.45 times more likely to have taken rosiglitazone than another medication or placebo" and "patients who had died of cardiovascular causes were 1.64 times more likely to have taken rosiglitazone than another medication or placebo."

For these comparisons, the risk of heart attack was statistically significant, meaning similar results could be expected by chance <5% of the time, and the results for cardiovascular death were not statistically significant, with p value 0.06, meaning similar results could be expected by chance 6% of the time.

The authors comment that the results are of the type called meta-analysis, which means they are using data from multiple studies that included different groups of patients, were of different duration, and had variable outcomes. These variations in the studies make it possible that the conclusions are somehow biased. Small changes in the rates of cardiovascular disease in the studies might have lead to different conclusions.

The authors state that the reason for the apparent increase risk of bad outcomes is unknown, and it is not known if similar concerns would be seen with other medications in this class (currently Actos, pioglitazone, is the only other approved "TZD"). The authors requested that GlaxoSmithKline release more detailed data from the studies to an independent source so that more detailed analysis could be performed.

The authors conclusion from the study was "despite these limitations, our data point to the urgent need for comprehensive evaluations to clarify the cardiovascular risks of rosiglitazone. The manufacturer's public disclosure of summary results for rosiglitazone clinical trials is not sufficient to enable a robust assessment of cardiovascular risks. The manufacturer has all the source data for completed clinical trials and should make these data available to an external academic coordinating center for systematic analysis. The FDA also has access to study reports and other clinical-trial data not within the public domain. Further analyses of data available to the FDA and the manufacturer would enable a more robust assessment of the risks of this drug. Our data suggest a cardiovascular risk associated with the use of rosiglitazone. Until better precision of the estimates of the risks of this treatment on cardiovascular events can be delineated in patients with diabetes, patients and providers should give careful consideration to the risks and benefits of their overall treatment plans." (emphasis added)

More Information:
Statement from the American Heart Association, American Diabetes Association, and American College of Cardiology regarding the study.

Abstract from the New England Journal study.

Response from GlaxoSmithKline (maker of Avandia).

Editorial in Lancet (medical journal) calling for balanced response.